NEW DELHI, 02/02/2025: People seen buying the vegetables at a market, as the Union Budget 2025-26 has allocated ₹1,348 crore to the National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi, reflecting an increase of ₹100 crore in loans and advances but maintaining grants-in-aid at the previous year’s level., in New Delhi on Sunday. Photo: Sushil Kumar Verma / The Hindu
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SUSHIL KUMAR VERMA
ndia’s Retail Inflation 2025, Retail Inflation outlook for July 2025 updates:Find here all the updates related to India’s July 2025 Retail Inflation.
CPI Inflation in June 2025:
With a continuous decline in food prices, retail inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) dipped to a 76-month low of 2.1 per cent in June, government data showed. Food inflation turned negative during the month, marking the lowest level since January 2019.
Projections for July 2025:
SBI projects that the average CPI inflation for FY26 will be between 3.0-3.2 per cent, which is significantly lower than the RBI’s estimate of 3.7 per cent and well below the average of 4.6 per cent recorded in FY25.
Inflation Projection for FY26
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cut its CPI inflation projection for FY26 to 3.1 per cent from the 3.7 per cent projected earlier even as it retained the real GDP growth at 6.5 per cent.
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra observed that the inflation outlook for FY26 has become more benign than expected in June.
- 10:07 | August 12, 2025
CPI Inflation Live Updates: Inflation is likely to edge up above 4 per cent by Q4FY26
RBI Governor has expressed, “Inflation is likely to edge up above 4 per cent by Q4FY26 and beyond, as unfavourable base effects and demand side factors from policy actions come into play.”
- 09:54 | August 12, 2025
Inflation Live Updates: With 90% of normal area covered, India’s kharif crops sowing up 4% year-on-year
Helped by continuous surplus rains in most parts of the country after mid-June, farmers have covered over 90 per cent of the normal area of about 1,097 lakh hectares (lh) so far in the ongoing kharif season, the Agriculture Ministry said.
Experts are hoping for a normal yield, despite some reports of crop damage in some States. However, if there is excess rain during pre-harvest period in September, standing crops may face the risk of disease.
With 90% of normal area covered, India’s kharif crops sowing up 4% year-on-year
Farmers have covered over 90% of normal kharif season area, hoping for normal yield despite crop damage reports.
- 09:38 | August 12, 2025
Retail Inflation Live Updates: US to release its inflation data today. It’ll arrive later in the day after the markets close in India
July’s consumer price index, due on Tuesday, will give traders clues on how President Donald Trump’s tariffs are affecting costs. Economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect the annual core inflation rate to rise to 3%, the highest since February. (Bloomberg)
- 09:33 | August 12, 2025
Retail Inflation Live Updates: Government bonds are expected to inch lower before the release of India’s inflation data, while traders will also eye the US consumer price data due after market hours
The yield on the benchmark 10-year bond is likely to move between 6.40% and 6.45%, compared with Monday’s close of 6.4398%, the highest since April 11.
Bond yields move inversely to prices. (Reuters)
- 09:25 | August 12, 2025
Wholesale inflation in country likely declined to 2-year low to -0.45% in July: UBI Report
Wholesale inflation in India likely fell to a near two-year low in July 2025, driven by a sharp drop in food and fuel prices, according to a report by Union Bank of India.
The Wholesale Price Index (WPI) is estimated to have declined to -0.45 per cent year-on-year (y/y) in July, compared to -0.13 per cent in June, marking the lowest level in almost two years.
Wholesale inflation in country likely declined to 2-year low to -0.45% in July: UBI Report
July 2025 WPI likely fell to a near two-year low of -0.45%, driven by food and fuel price drops.
- 09:23 | August 12, 2025
RBI cuts retail inflation projection for FY26 by 60 bps to 3.1%
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has cut its CPI inflation projection for FY26 to 3.1 per cent from the 3.7 per cent projected earlier even as it retained the real GDP growth at 6.5 per cent.
RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra observed that the inflation outlook for FY26 has become more benign than expected in June.
RBI cuts retail inflation projection for FY26 by 60 bps to 3.1%
RBI projects CPI inflation at 3.1% for FY26, with steady GDP growth at 6.5%, despite potential risks.
- 09:14 | August 12, 2025
CPI Inflation Live: Cooling food prices likely reduced retail inflation to an eight-year low of 1.76 per cent in July
This is below the Reserve Bank of India’s 2-6 per cent tolerance band for the first time in more than six years, a Reuters poll of economists showed.
- 09:09 | August 12, 2025
Indian benchmarks indices likely to open flat ahead of release of domestic inflation data
Indian equity benchmarks are likely to open flat on Tuesday, chiming trends in broader Asian markets, as investors await domestic inflation data for July and a key US inflation print that could influence near-term interest rate expectations.
The Gift Nifty futures were trading at 24,599.5, as of 7:53 a.m. IST, indicating that the Nifty 50 will open near Monday’s close of 24,585.05.
Indian benchmarks indices likely to open flat ahead of release of domestic inflation data
Indian equity markets likely to open flat, influenced by Asian trends, awaiting key inflation data and U.S. rate-cut expectations.
- 09:06 | August 12, 2025
July Inflation Live Updates: CPI inflation in July likely to hit historical low, FY26 to be at 3% below RBI estimate of 3.7%: SBI
India’s retail inflation is expected to reach a record low in July 2025, with the average inflation for the financial year 2025-26 projected to be significantly lower than the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) estimate, according to a report by the State Bank of India (SBI).
“We believe that the upcoming July 2025 CPI inflation data is set to breach the lowest ever historical print,” the report said.
CPI inflation in July likely to hit historical low, FY26 to be at 3% below RBI estimate of 3.7%: SBI
India’s retail inflation projected to hit record low in July 2025, with SBI forecasting average CPI inflation of 3.0-3.2%.
Published on August 12, 2025